Pretty much every civilization had some sort of creation myth. For the Ancient Greeks, Hesiod was the one who codified these primordial legends into a fixed narrative poem, called Theogony: it was Chaos that gave birth to the gods and the world itself. For the Vikings it was the corpse of the giant Ymir. For the Chinese, it was a more philosophical concept, which initially did not even involve deities at all.
It follows that most civilizations, and the religions which sprung from them or were adopted by them, have their respective eschatological myths. Ragnarök, Apocalypsis, the Last Day, whatever the name and the specifics, most religions have put an expiration date on humankind. Sometimes, a new cycle will begin, the meek or pious will inherit the Earth. In other cases, the aftermath is more vague.
Regardless, most people throughout history believed that their world would end sometime. Some of them had even come to believe that it would happen in their lifetime. Evidently, the doomsday prophets have so far been proven wrong. However this time it’s science, not religion, which places an expiration date on the world as we know it.
For the first time in human history, the signs of the end times are actually scientifically verifiable. And it’s not some vague prophecy that will come true at an unspecified time in the future. We now have a timetable.
Of course, there were always scientific scenarios for the end of the world. Supervolcanoes, massive solar flares, giant meteorites, geomagnetic reversal, you name it. These phenomena are all distinct possibilities. Most of them could cause from widespread disruption to an actual mass extinction event, ending most life on the planet. We even know with absolute certainty that at some point our Sun will turn into a red giant and either swallow Earth or burn it to a crisp. But that’s some five billion years in the future. By then, we might be long gone. Again, according to science, mammals have an average life expectancy of about 1.000.000 years, although some species have persisted for ten times as long. Unsurprisingly, the last four centuries have been much more lethal for mammalian (among other) species than the average. We are not only mostly responsible for that, but we could also be next in line.
You see, mass extinction events are not stories that some prophet penned, centuries ago, claiming to have divine inspiration. These are actual events which are recorded in the fossil record, and so far there have been five of them. All but the last one were caused to some extent by natural climate change. And all of these events not only predated us, but lasted more than our entire existence on the planet. Being natural phenomena, their timescale was measured in the millions of years. So, we know how the mechanism works. What we didn’t know until about half a century ago was just how fragile the climate balance is and how our rampant growth was already disrupting it. And now the consequences of this disruption have become more than just a set of predictions. They can be seen with the naked eye.
For many, the pandemic seems like a dress rehearsal for the Apocalypse. Not because the virus is so lethal that it could kill all humans. We have survived far worse than SARS-CoV-2. But this crisis has proven that our lifestyle and the supply chain which supports it, are much more fragile than we ever realized. Make no mistake, though: this kind of shock was not experienced for the first time by humans.
Many civilizations at the height of their power have suddenly vanished. We used to call these downfalls, such as the Bronze Age collapse, great mysteries. Then, closer studies of the Mayan empire decline, the Khmer empire collapse, and others pointed to climate change, overpopulation, resource depletion, social unrest, and warfare, being a common end result of all the previous factors, as the main culprits. In most cases, these civilizations were thriving just before their catastrophic downfalls. A sudden climatic shift, coupled with overpopulation seemed to have been, more often than not, the key factors which started a domino effect. In very simple terms, we could boil this down to “too many people, not enough food”.
Does this sound familiar? Perhaps the best analogy to our current situation would be the Bronze Age collapse, since this saw the almost simultaneous decline of several, perhaps as many as eight, different civilizations which were closely connected due to trade. It was perhaps a singular time in ancient history where so many different empires and city-states coexisted in relative peace and the short distances between them allowed them to develop a close interdependence. It’s the closest equivalent one could find to our modern globalized world.
How many countries can claim to be self-sufficient today? What would happen if a climate shift was not limited to a specific geographical region, even a wide one such as the Eastern Mediterranean, but it spanned the entire globe? What if we dealt with a climate crisis, featuring the most violent phenomena experienced by humans ever, happening at regular intervals? What we now call “100-year” or even “1000-year” floods or droughts could happen every two or three years in the very near future. They already are happening. Farmers and workers who, in previous decades, were able to work outside with little problem are now developing serious health issues due to dehydration. Some areas, including agricultural “breadbaskets”, are gradually becoming deserts. Others will flood. Sea levels will keep on rising for decades, eventually defeating our costly (and ultimately doomed) efforts to stop the tide and save vital coastal cities, most of whom are key trading ports. The disruption of ocean currents, such as the Gulf Stream could cause Northern Europe and parts of North America to enter a localized Ice Age, while much of the rest of the planet boils.
All this sounds bad, but the actual problem is that these climate shocks will not just cause damage locally. The resulting disruption will cause overlapping domino effects with unpredictable results. Some of these will be less so: for example, in areas where water usage is a long-standing geopolitical problem between two or more countries, a long drought could very well trigger a full-blown war. You can replace oil with other forms of energy. But can you live without water?
And the real kicker is this: even without climate change we already knew we were in trouble due to over-consumption and overpopulation. Scientists have been warning us for decades about it. They were called “alarmists”, “doomsayers”, “pessimists”. Their predictions, however, proved to be correct. The same happened with the proponents of climate “change”, a political term which we now know to be woefully inadequate to describe what is, in truth, a climate crisis.
Put resource depletion and climate crisis together and the result of the equation is the perfect storm.
Ancient civilizations and religions were rife with apocalyptic prophecies. Humanity’s sins would cause the ire of god(s), which were sure to answer with fire, blood and brimstone. People in the past were uncertain when this cataclysmic punishment would come, but now we know. It’s not blind faith, but concrete scientific facts which foretell our future. Our ancestors didn’t have this luxury. For most of them drought, famine, flood, disease and war came without warning, seemingly as divine retribution. They had to come up with the reason after the fact. They sacrificed animals (or even humans) or prayed, in vain, to stop the catastrophe. In the end, being utterly unprepared for these “acts of god”, their mighty cities became empty ruins. With the passage of centuries, these ruins would excite and mystify the civilizations who succeeded them. Who were these people and how could those with the knowledge and skill to construct such massive cities just simply vanish?
It took millennia for our science to discover how the delicate balance which allows life to thrive on our planet works. And even when some of that knowledge and the grim conclusions it led to, were known for decades, economic interests stopped them from getting the publicity they deserved, until nearly too late. We have wasted too much time.
But now the massive heatwaves, megastorms, droughts, floods and megafires have become impossible to ignore. Extreme weather coupled with a pandemic, which was going to come sooner or later, truly makes it seem like we have entered the first stages of the End Times.
Unlike those hapless, dead civilizations which never saw their end coming, we know exactly which sins have caused our woes and what the endgame will be.
We literally know how to cancel the Apocalypse.
What are we going to do about it?
Story was first published on Medium